The Pahalgam attack could’ve lead to nuclear winter. India's potential fourth war with Pakistan in 78 years threatened 1 billion lives, with a 1.2% GDP crash in Pakistan.
On May 10, 2025, after days of intense cross-border hostilities, India and Pakistan agreed to a “full and immediate” ceasefire. The announcement was made near-simultaneously at 5:00 p.m. Pakistan Standard Time, with US President Donald Trump first making the news public, quickly followed by confirmations from Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar and Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri. Trump highlighted the role of US mediation in achieving the agreement
Despite the ceasefire, explosions and renewed violence were reported within hours in Indian-administered Kashmir, particularly in Srinagar and Jammu. Indian officials, including Foreign Secretary Misri, claimed there were “multiple breaches” by Pakistan and called for corrective action, stating that the Indian military was responding to these violations.
Pakistan, meanwhile, denied any violations and accused India of breaking the agreement, with its foreign ministry emphasizing a commitment to the ceasefire and calling for any disputes to be resolved through dialogue
If Pakistan is or is not involved, it remains the case that India was unable to prevent attacks from occurring within its own territory, underscoring the ongoing security challenges and the fragility of the ceasefire
Tense situation ***
On May 10, 2025, after days of intense cross-border hostilities, India and Pakistan agreed to a “full and immediate” ceasefire. The announcement was made near-simultaneously at 5:00 p.m. Pakistan Standard Time, with US President Donald Trump first making the news public, quickly followed by confirmations from Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar and Indian Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri. Trump highlighted the role of US mediation in achieving the agreement
Despite the ceasefire, explosions and renewed violence were reported within hours in Indian-administered Kashmir, particularly in Srinagar and Jammu. Indian officials, including Foreign Secretary Misri, claimed there were “multiple breaches” by Pakistan and called for corrective action, stating that the Indian military was responding to these violations.
Pakistan, meanwhile, denied any violations and accused India of breaking the agreement, with its foreign ministry emphasizing a commitment to the ceasefire and calling for any disputes to be resolved through dialogue
If Pakistan is or is not involved, it remains the case that India was unable to prevent attacks from occurring within its own territory, underscoring the ongoing security challenges and the fragility of the ceasefire
Sources
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[2] Multiple explosions heard in India-controlled Kashmir hours after ceasefire deal https://www.ksl.com/article/51310459/multiple-explosions-heard-in-india-controlled-kashmir-hours-after-ceasefire-deal
[3] Live updates: Pakistan and India agree to ceasefire after weeks of tensions https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/india-pakistan-operation-sindoor-05-10-25
[4] India and Pakistan accuse each other of violating ceasefire hours after reaching deal https://www.npr.org/2025/05/10/g-s1-65728/india-and-pakistan-accuse-each-other-of-violating-ceasefire-hours-after-reaching-deal
[5] Explosions, violations reported after India and Pakistan agree ceasefire https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/5/10/india-and-pakistan-agree-to-an-immediate-ceasefire-after-days-of-escalation
[6] U.S.-brokered ceasefire between India and Pakistan allegedly violated hours after agreement https://www.nbcnews.com/world/asia/live-blog/india-pakistan-rcna206000
[7] India and Pakistan accuse each other of 'violations' after ceasefire deal https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cvg9d913v20o
[8] India accuses Pakistan of violating ceasefire just hours after it was announced https://www.politico.com/news/2025/05/10/india-pakistan-ceasefire-00340303
[9] India and Pakistan agree to a ceasefire, but will it hold? Here’s what to know https://www.cnn.com/2025/05/10/asia/india-pakistan-ceasefire-explainer-latam-intl
[10] Blasts heard in Indian Kashmir hours after India-Pakistan ceasefire announcement, minister says https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/blasts-heard-indian-kashmir-hours-after-india-pakistan-ceasefire-announcement-2025-05-10/
[11] Tensions remain high in India and Pakistan after apparent breaches ... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bAeVq8iOJxM
[12] India accuses Pakistan of violating ceasefire hours after reaching U.S.-led deal https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pakistan-says-india-has-fired-missiles-on-its-air-bases/
[13] Blasts in Srinagar after ceasefire shock residents; all okay now, clarifies Centre https://www.newindianexpress.com/nation/2025/May/10/blasts-in-srinagar-after-ceasefire-shock-residents-all-okay-now-clarifies-centre
[14] India-Pakistan updates: Explosions heard after ceasefire https://www.dw.com/en/india-pakistan-updates-explosions-heard-after-ceasefire/live-72497443
[15] India, Pakistan accuse each other of violating ceasefire https://www.dw.com/en/india-pakistan-accuse-each-other-of-violating-ceasefire/live-72497443
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[18] Live updates: Pakistan and India agree to ceasefire after weeks of tensions https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/india-pakistan-operation-sindoor-05-10-25
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[20] Bordering on Peace: Evaluating the Impact of the India-Pakistan ... https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2022/02/bordering-on-peace-evaluating-the-impact-of-the-india-pakistan-ceasefire
[21] India and Pakistan Agree to Full, Immediate Ceasefire: Trump https://time.com/7284654/india-pakistan-ceasefire-trump-us-mediation-kashmir-conflict-strikes/
[22] Indian Airstrikes in Pakistan: May 7, 2025 https://carnegieendowment.org/posts/2025/05/indian-airstrikes-in-pakistan-may-7-2025?lang=en
[23] Beyond The Ceasefire: India, Pakistan, And The Elusive Path To ... https://www.eurasiareview.com/11052025-beyond-the-ceasefire-india-pakistan-and-the-elusive-path-to-peace-analysis/
[24] Experts react: India just launched airstrikes against Pakistan. What's ... https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/experts-react/experts-react-india-just-launched-airstrikes-against-pakistan-whats-next/
[25] India-Pakistan live: Explosions in Kashmir after ceasefire agreed https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2025/5/10/india-pakistan-live-pakistan-airbases-targeted-as-blasts-rock-north-india
[26] May 7, 2025 India launches attacks on Pakistan after Kashmir ... - CNN https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/india-pakistan-attack-kashmir-tourists-intl-hnk
[27] India claims Pakistan violated truce, says it is retaliating - France 24 https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20250510-india-claims-pakistan-violated-truce-says-it-is-retaliating
[28] The Latest: India accuses Pakistan of ceasefire breaches in Kashmir https://apnews.com/article/pakistan-india-latest-1e25123fb9b13be4accc9cac0fe670d3
[29] India and Pakistan: On the Brink of Conflict Over Kashmir https://www.cfr.org/blog/india-and-pakistan-brink-conflict-over-kashmir
[30] India and Pakistan face conflict again - how did they de-escalate in ... https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cn4wk22vk4zo
[31] The Latest: India accuses Pakistan of ceasefire breaches in Kashmir https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/2025/05/09/pakistan-india-latest/7d4d5bb2-2d35-11f0-a724-3bc879c9f843_story.html